Risk-off this week, bringing total YTD return potential down to last year’s average at 43 per cent, even though I am taking four dogs. Hoping that at least one mid-range and one low confidence pick come through to break even there, then make or break for the week will come down to the heavy favorites. Betting on the league’s first and second ranked on points delta in the parlay with Detroit and Seattle, which would be enough to cover one upset from either the Raiders or Titans.

   

Pick Opponent Total Pick_R Opponent_R
IND LV 100 +14 -50
ARI TEN 100 +8 -50
NYJ DAL 100 +29 -30
NYG NO 100 +29 -30
DEN PHI 100 +30 -20
WSH LAC 100 +21 -20
DET CIN 50 +40 -50
SEA TB 50 +40 -50
+30 -43 700 +209 -300