So far this year all my 7 dog picks have lost, and 3 of 9 favorites have lost. Last year, 62% of my picks were favorites, versus 52% through the first two weeks. This week, taking 6 favorites and two dogs, bringing the weight back up to 63%, and total return potential down from above average at 48% to below average at 40%. Putting heavier favorites in the parlay, and adding risk up through the confidence and then mid-range.
| Pick | Opponent | Total | Pick_R | Opponent_R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | TEN | 100 | +21 | -50 |
| PHI | LAR | 100 | +24 | -50 |
| LAC | DEN | 100 | +17 | -30 |
| HOU | JAX | 100 | +25 | -30 |
| ATL | CAR | 100 | +3 | -20 |
| CHI | DAL | 100 | +14 | -20 |
| TB | NYJ | 50 | +30 | -50 |
| GB | CLE | 50 | +30 | -50 |
| +23 | -43 | 700 | +163 | -300 |